Monday, February 20, 2023

Should you prepay your mortgage?

Should you over pay your mortgage? Or maybe just go ahead and invest that extra money elsewhere?

The decision between investing extra cash or prepaying your mortgage is one of the most debated topics in personal finance. You've received a raise, optimized your budget, or come into a lump sum—like 8,00,000 from an inheritance—and now face a choice: put that money toward reducing your home loan balance, or invest it elsewhere for potential growth? Both sides have passionate advocates, and the "right" answer depends heavily on your personal circumstances, risk tolerance, financial goals, and current economic conditions.

This isn't a one-size-fits-all decision. It can be approached rationally through numbers and assumptions, but emotions play a big role too—especially how you feel about carrying debt. Some people sleep better knowing their home is closer to being fully owned, while others prioritize building wealth through compounding returns. In personal finance, there's rarely a perfect path, only the one that aligns best with your life. Let's explore the key factors to help you decide thoughtfully.

At its core, the choice boils down to opportunity cost. Prepaying your mortgage is like earning a guaranteed "return" equal to your home loan interest rate (since you avoid paying that interest going forward). Investing elsewhere offers the potential for higher returns but with risk and no guarantees. Add to that the worry about the debt you carry.




Let us assume you have an mortgage with an outstanding tenure of 17 years. If you prepay 8,00,000 now against your mortgage that costs you 8% pa (as an example), you reduce the principal immediately. This shortens the loan tenure or lowers future EMIs (depending on how your lender applies it), saving a significant portion of future interest—especially powerful early in the tenure when interest forms a larger part of each EMI.

Alternatively, if you invest that 8,00,000 and earn a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% over the remaining 17 years, it could grow substantially—potentially to several times the original amount (far outpacing the interest saved on the loan in many scenarios). Meanwhile, you continue paying the original EMI, but the investment grows independently.

On paper, if your expected investment return exceeds your mortgage rate, investing often wins mathematically. Historically, equity mutual funds have delivered long-term returns in the 12-15% range for diversified portfolios, though past performance isn't a guarantee. Debt funds or fixed deposits might offer lower, steadier returns closer to or below current home loan rates.

Several variables tip the scales: Your mortgage interest rate — The lower it is the stronger the case for investing. The key factor being the spread between your mortgage rate and the expected return from your investments.  Remember that here our decision will be based on the estimated return and the actual return may be higher or lower. Investing carries market risks. The return that you achieve over the years could be lower thus nullifying the assumed benefits. The other factor is the remaining loan tenure. Longer tenures amplify compounding benefits of investing. Prepayment saves more interest early on due to amortization (interest-heavy payments initially).




But one needs to keep in mind the psychological impacts also.   Debt aversion is real! One may prefer being debt-free sooner for mental freedom.  What if you lost your job?  Or your circumstances changed in the future thus impacting your ability to repay? Reducing debt even at the risk of reduced returns or wealth creation is a good place to be in if it means less stress about the future.  Remember, circumstance can change midway. What if your circumstances change for the worse like redundancy or reduced earnings? Often, the near term risks can overshadow the long term gains. Peace of mind is often not given enough importance while we are busy driving our careers and ambitions. It is something we don’t appreciate until we don’t have it. 

So that big question again?  Should one repay the mortgage with the extra cash or should one invest that amount instead? Many experts recommend a middle path: allocate part of the surplus to prepayment (for peace of mind and interest savings) and part to investments (for growth). For example, prepay enough to reduce your EMI or shorten the tenure modestly, then invest the rest in a systematic way. Or maintain an emergency fund first, then split extra cash.

What would you do if you had a mortgage and came across some extra cash at the end of the month?  Or if you received a hefty bonus at work? What would you do? 


  

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